Couples cruises to lead at Toshiba Classic

Golf Betting Lines

03/06/2010 - Newport Beach, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Fred Couples fired a seven-under 64 on Saturday to move to the top of the leaderboard after two rounds of the Toshiba Classic.

Couples finished 36 holes at 12-under 130 and missed Rodger Davis' 2003 and Jay Haas' 2007 tournament record by a stroke. Couples is two shots ahead at Newport Beach Country Club.

Tom Lehman had a six-under 65 on Saturday and is tied for second place with first-round co-leader Chien Soon Lu, who posted a four-under 67 on Saturday. The pair is knotted at 10-under 132.

There was a small weather delay on Saturday when a storm moved through and poured rain on Newport Beach Country Club. Everyone completed the second round on Saturday and it was someone becoming all too familiar with the top of the leaderboard that emerged on Saturday.

Couples parred the first, then wedged his approach at the second to inches to set up a tap-in birdie. From the left rough, Couples hooked his second to nine feet and rolled in the eagle putt to take the lead.

While Couples struggled hitting fairways, he was able to save par for the most part. He hit another wedge to inches for an easy birdie at seven, then found the right rough off the tee at nine. Couples hit a spectacular second shot to three feet and holed the short birdie putt.

An errant drive at the 10th finally cost Couples. He hit it in the left rough and near a tree. Couples had to pitch out in the fairway left-handed, but his third shot came up 25 feet short and he missed the par putt.

Couples was nine-under par, but still on top of the leaderboard, but with company. A birdied at the par-five 15th got him one ahead, then birdies at 16 and 18 gave him his two-shot cushion.

Couples has been very, very good so far this year on the Champions Tour. In two starts, he has a win and a runner-up and is first on both the money list and the Charles Schwab Cup race.

Loren Roberts and Ronnie Black both carded rounds of four-under 67 on Saturday and share fourth place at eight-under 134.

Mark Wiebe, one of the three first-round co-leaders, managed an even-par 71 and is tied for sixth place with John Cook (66), Bob Gilder (66) and defending champion Eduardo Romero (69). The group finished at six-under 136.

Bob Tway, the final first-round leader, struggled to a one-over 72 in round two and shares 10th with Corey Pavin (69), David Peoples (68) and Gary Hallberg (70) at minus-five.

NOTES: Hale Irwin, who has the most wins in Champions Tour history, shot a four-under 67 and is tied for 14th at minus-four...Bernhard Langer, who holed out from a bunker to win the Allianz Championship in a playoff, had a one-over 72 and fell to a tie for 40th at even-par 142...Andy Bean and Dave Stockton both withdrew.

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Best Horse Betting Online

(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).

The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.

"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."

Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.

"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."

When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:

CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.

DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.

PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.

You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.

"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."

Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.

(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)

Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."

But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."

Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."

Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."

All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.

In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.

"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."

To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.